I like to build products that I want to exist in the world—first, for myself. I've failed when I tried to build stuff that I thought "the market" would want. Maybe that's cuz I'm bad at user research.
But more seriously, I think most people are bad at user research. And the beauty of the Internet at this point is that, unless you're *really* weird, there a still lots and lots of people like you.
So, I'm biased toward using one's personal bias as much as possible. I really think that's where the best stuff comes from.
Lastly, I'll add the caveat that when it comes to growth and new-user experience sort of things, it pays to be much more scientific—since you can't recapture what it's like to be a new user of your own product.